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Prediction markets: News & Analysis
Coverage of "Prediction markets" on Cryptopasta: the stories and the context behind them.
Markets
SpaceX Stays Silent on Tesla Deal, Betting Markets Pivot Fast
SpaceX's quiet earnings call killed market enthusiasm for a Tesla merger by year-end, with betting odds slipping to 17.5% in hours as traders interpret the silence as a cooling signal.
August 5, 2026
Geopolitics
August 5, 2026Iran and Oman plan joint Strait of Hormuz navigation hub as markets price 66% odds of US deal
Geopolitics
August 5, 2026Netanyahu doubles down on Palestinian statehood rejection as markets price out 2027 recognition
Crypto Events
August 5, 2026Rio 2026 Brings Wall Street and Crypto Onto the Same Stage for Real
Crypto Policy
August 5, 2026Senate quietly pushes crypto bill vote into next year as August recess looms
Crypto
August 5, 2026Polymarket chases $20 billion valuation, narrows gap with prediction market rival Kalshi
Crypto
August 5, 2026Tribal gaming leaders push Congress to block federal control of prediction markets
Crypto
August 5, 2026Kalshi Taps Compliance Tech to Police Insider Trades in Prediction Markets
Crypto
August 4, 2026Polymarket Eyes $1 Billion Funding Round, Valuation Could Hit $20 Billion
Regulation
August 4, 2026Senators Push CFTC to Kill Wildfire Betting Markets Over Arson Concerns
Geopolitics
August 4, 2026Iran insists no talks with US underway as market bets on deal odds slipping
Geopolitics
August 4, 2026Washington and Gulf Allies Block Iran's Hormuz Toll Plan, Demand Shipping Access First
Crypto
August 4, 2026Polymarket eyes valuation above $20 billion in fresh funding round
Crypto Regulation
August 4, 2026Kalshi Under Fire as New York Alleges Illegal Gambling Operation
Regulation
August 4, 2026Former Congressman Settles Market Manipulation Case After Trading on His Own Attendance
Crypto Law
August 4, 2026Kalshi sidesteps New York's $36 billion lawsuit by moving case to federal court
Geopolitics
August 4, 2026Peace talks stall as US and Iran send conflicting signals on war resolution
Regulation
August 4, 2026Kalshi Faces New York Shutdown as Casino Industry Pushes Behind Scenes, CEO Says
Energy Markets
August 3, 2026Trump pressures oil giants to slash prices as market bets against crude record high
Crypto Markets
August 3, 2026